Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis


I’m still watching several Congressional races where women are competitive — that is, those that 538’s forecast rated as “Toss-Up” or “Lean” Democratic or Republican. Just a couple of these races have been called so far, and women won both: In Michigan’s 8th District, ABC News is projecting that Kristen McDonald Rivet, the Democrat, will win that open race, defeating Paul Junge. In Virginia’s 2nd District, ABC News is projecting that Rep. Jen Kiggans, the Republican, will keep her seat for a second term; she was facing a female challenger, Missy Cotter Smasal.

Elsewhere, we are still waiting. As Alex just mentioned, Iowa’s 1st District has not yet been projected, even with 99% of the expected vote reporting. But a woman will win either way in this close race.

Oregon’s 5th is another matchup between two women. The Democrat, Janelle Bynum, leads Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer 48% to 45%, with 72% of the expected vote reporting.

A couple female Democratic incumbents are currently trailing: Rep. Susan Wild in Pennsylvania’s 7th and Rep. Mary Peltola in Alaska’s at-large district. Female Democratic incumbents currently leading include Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez in Washington’s 3rd, and Rep. Yadira Caraveo in Colorado’s 8th. Republican incumbent Rep. Michelle Steel in California’s 45th is currently leading with 63% of the expected vote reporting. But these are yet to be projected, so we are keeping an eye on them, and will update as we know more.

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I’m still watching several Congressional races where women are competitive — that is, those that 538’s forecast rated as “Toss-Up” or “Lean” Democratic or Republican. Just a couple of these races have been called so far, and women won both: In Michigan’s 8th District, ABC News is projecting that Kristen McDonald Rivet, the Democrat, will win that open race, defeating Paul Junge. In Virginia’s 2nd District, ABC News is projecting that Rep. Jen Kiggans, the Republican, will keep her seat for a second term; she was facing a female challenger, Missy Cotter Smasal.

Elsewhere, we are still waiting. As Alex just mentioned, Iowa’s 1st District has not yet been projected, even with 99% of the expected vote reporting. But a woman will win either way in this close race.

Oregon’s 5th is another matchup between two women. The Democrat, Janelle Bynum, leads Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer 48% to 45%, with 72% of the expected vote reporting.

A couple female Democratic incumbents are currently trailing: Rep. Susan Wild in Pennsylvania’s 7th and Rep. Mary Peltola in Alaska’s at-large district. Female Democratic incumbents currently leading include Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez in Washington’s 3rd, and Rep. Yadira Caraveo in Colorado’s 8th. Republican incumbent Rep. Michelle Steel in California’s 45th is currently leading with 63% of the expected vote reporting. But these are yet to be projected, so we are keeping an eye on them, and will update as we know more.

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